Energy Research & Data

Country Energy Demand Forecast

Plan your energy business. Simulate energy policies.

Country Energy Demand Forecast

Projections of demand

  • by end use
  • by industrial branch

Country Energy Demand Forecast is an innovative service offering consumption projections to 2050, drilling down to end uses and industrial branches.

Leveraging an exclusive set of governmental statistics and Enerdata’s globally recognised demand model, this service offers robust and comprehensive projections in just a couple of clicks – leaving no need for modelling specialists!

It allows users to track underlying factors throughout the industry, transport, residential and services sectors, as well as the dynamics of future energy demand thanks to a built-in sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of key drivers on energy use.

Why Subscribe?

  • User-friendly and ready-to-use solution embedding a model, two scenarios and complete input data
  • One-click data forecast exports
  • Exclusive long-term forecasts of energy demand by end use and underlying drivers 
  • Robust modelling by the recognised EnerMED Model
  • Designed and maintained by energy demand experts
  • Driver variation feature to adjust them to your assumptions
  • Transparency of modelling methodology


Key Features


  • Energy demand forecasts by country up to 2050 with one-year steps
  • Forecasts of oil, gas, coal and electricity consumption by sector:
    • Industry
    • Services
    • Transport (including electric vehicles)
    • Residential
  • Calibration update to consider recent trends in energy demand
  • Detailed down-to end-uses: electric vehicles, modal changes in transport, air conditioning in buildings, etc.


  • Intuitive interface accessible via web browser
  • Powerful sensitivity analysis with sliders to observe instantaneously the impact of key drivers on both scenarios
  • Access to demand drivers and key indicators


  • Two scenarios per country:
    • Reference scenario showing the impact on energy demand of current policies (“base-line”)
    • Energy efficiency scenario reflecting the intensification of policies towards deep decarbonisation of countries
  • Access to the underlying assumptions and the reference year data
  • Bottom-up modelling methodology with high-level granularity
  • Explanation of the influence of key drivers in forecasting
  • Assistance from our demand experts
  • Data export
    • default: .XLS download
    • option: monthly delivery of updated data CSV through FTP
    • option: custom API development


Unrivalled Granular Coverage




  • Passenger
  • Electric vehicles
  • Freight by mode
  • ...


  • Thermal
  • Electricity
  • Energy intensive productions
  • ...


  • Cooking
  • Hot water
  • Space heating
  • Air conditioning
  • Lighting
  • ...


  • Thermal end-uses
  • Electricity end-uses
  • Public lighting
  • ...




Demand by energy






  • Industrial outputs
  • Vehicle stocks
  • Road traffic
  • Dwellings, equipments
  • ...

Specific consumption

  • Energy intensive products
  • Vehicle types
  • End-uses
  • Appliances
  • ...


  • Energy intensity
  • Energy expenses
  • CO2 emissions
  • ...


Custom Assumptions


  • Adjust with the sensitivity analysis on 12 key drivers
  • Extend to a range the values of our scenario results
  • Observe the effect of key drivers on our assumptions in both scenarios
  • Understand the influence of drivers in forecasting

Sensitivity Analysis


EnerMED Model

Country Energy Demand Forecast relies on EnerMED model.

EnerMED is the latest version of the MEDEE models used under different versions since the mid-70’s, for several type of studies such as update of NDCs, national development plans, or efficiency policies evaluations.

The MEDEE models have been used:

  • in 60 countries worldwide
  • to provide energy demand forecasts and analysis by various actors of the energy sector (industry, governments, policymakers…)
  • to produce reference demand forecasts showing the impact on energy demand of current energy and GHG policies and evaluate the change induced by energy efficiency and GHG measures.


Countries Covered

6 countries currently available

Country List

France, Ireland, Italy, Germany, Spain and the United Kingdom.

Other countries towards the world available on-demand (if applicable).


Air conditioning consumption


Electricity consumption in transport sector


Final consumption


Schedule a Demo

Benefit from a full demonstration and Q&A session with our specialists.

Need more info? Please contact us
T: +33 4 7642 2546

Schedule Demo